Goldman Sachs cut its gold price forecast for this year, saying while the latest sell-off is “likely excessive,” it has “exposed a quickly waning conviction in holding gold positions, especially ETFs (exchange traded funds).
In a note dated February 25, Goldman cut its three-month gold-price forecast to $1,615 an ounce from $1,825, its six-month forecast to $1,600 an ounce from $1,805 and its 12-month forecast to $1,550 an ounce from $1,800.
Goldman said recent moves in gold and U.S. real rates have “anticipated the turn in the gold cycle that we had expected for the second half of 2013,” in the note. April gold futures GCJ3 +0.55% rose $13.60 an ounce, or nearly 1%, to $1,599.80 an ounce as perceived riskier assets sold off in the wake of an inconclusive result for Italian elections.
